AUD/USD Daily Outlook
March 21, 2010 by
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Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. Note that another rise is still mildly in favor as long as trend line support (now at 0.9092) holds. Above 0.9250 will bring further rise to retest 0.9404 high. However, sustained trading below the near term rising trend line support will…
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EUR/USD Daily Outlook
March 21, 2010 by
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Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for 1.3435 low. Break there will confirm our view that consolidation from 1.3443 is completed at 1.3817 and the larger decline from 1.5143 is resuming for 61.8% projection of 1.4578 to 1.3443 from 1.3817 at 1.3116 next. On the upside, above 1.3626…
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Weekly Review and Outlook: Euro Broadly Lower on Greece Drama, Look For Resolution in EU Summit
March 20, 2010 by
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Euro was sold off sharply last week on the drama of Greece bailout. Just as markets thought there’s already an agreement reached between Eurozone countries on the way to provide financial aid to Greece, Germany came out and said that it’s illegal to support such a plan and called for…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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EUR/USD’s consolidation from 1.3443 has likely completed at 1.3817 after failing mentioned 1.3852 resistance. Initial bias is on the downside this week for a test on 1.3435 low first. Break will confirm that whole decline from 1.5143 has resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 1.4578 to 1.3443 from 1.3817…
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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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USD/JPY was bounded in choppy sideway trading below 91.08 last week and there is no indication that such consolidation is finished. Initial bias remains neutral this week. Nevertheless, note that rise from 0.8813 is still in favor to continue as long as 89.62 cluster support (50% retracement of 88.13 to…
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GBP/USD Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.4783 extended further to 1.5381 last week but was limited below mentioned 38.2% retracement of 1.6456 to 1.4783 at 1.5422 as expected. Subsequent sharp fall argues that such recovery is completed. Initial bias is cautiously on the downside for 1.4880 support this week. Break will indicate that…
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USD/CHF Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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USD/CHF’s choppy fall from 1.0897 extended further to as low as 1.0506 last week before recovering mildly. While such fall was deeper than expected, there is no change in the view that it’s a correction in the larger rally. Hence, in case of another decline, downside is still expected to…
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AUD/USD Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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AUD/USD edged higher to 0.9250 last week but lost momentum after hitting falling trend line resistance. Initial bias is turned neutral this week and some consolidations might be seen. Nevertheless, rise from 0.8577 is still in favor to continue as long as near term rising trend line (now at 0.9057)…
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USD/CAD Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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USD/CAD dropped to as low as 1.0062 last week but lost momentum ahead of mentioned target of 161.8% projection of 1.0779 to 1.0369 from 1.0679 at 1.0016. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD, a short term bottom might be seen in place and some consolidations would possibly be…
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EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook
March 20, 2010 by
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EUR/GBP failed below 0.9137 again and dropped sharply to as low as 0.8914 last week. The cross drew support from 55 days EMA and rebounded strongly. Such development mixed up the outlook. Also, considering that EUR/GBP is close to medium term falling trend line (now at 0.9202), we’ll stay neutral…
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